A pășit Moldova în epoca “post-adevărului” sau încă nu?

Publicate Februarie 20, 2017 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: Mass-media în Moldova

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Anul 2016 a fost dominat de expresia “post-adevăr” (post-truth), care a marcat puternic discursul public al politicienilor și a pătruns profund în spațiul mediatic occidental.

Dicționarul Oxford definește post-adevărul ca situație sau circumstanțe în care “faptele obiective sunt mai puțin importante în formarea opiniei publice decât apelurile la emoțiile și convingerile personale”. În realitate, această noțiune a apărut cel puțin două decenii în urmă, când făcea referință mai degrabă la transparența ciclului de evenimente, decât la valoarea adevărului în sine. În prezent, post-adevărul are însă o conotație mai profundă și complexă, îmbinând în sine manipularea emoțională, deziformarea factologică și stratagiile politice de comunicare. Read the rest of this post »

Association Agreement with EU and paradoxes of President Dodon

Publicate Februarie 15, 2017 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: UE şi RM

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The results of President Igor Dodon’s visit to Brussels (February 6-7, 2017) are rather modest in terms of statements and reactions with substance on the part of European officials. The Europeans showed themselves to be rather reserved in relation to the President of Moldova Igor Dodon. Not even after several days of the visit did the European institutions – European Council, European Commission, European External Action Service or the European Parliament – publish press releases dedicated to Igor Dodon on their websites.

Lacking emotional content, the meetings of Igor Dodon with European officials showed the latter’s real attitude to the President of Moldova. On the one hand, the Europeans are aware of the real weight of Igor Dodon in the decision-making process in Chisinau, where he has limited powers. On the other hand, the EU gave Igor Dodon a reciprocity-based welcome as it is practically impossible for Brussels to welcome him warmly after he made hostile statements about the EU in his meeting with the Russian President Vladimir Putin in January 2017. In general, Brussels is used to being criticized, but rejects the criticism that goes against the reality, especially the one that derives from the anti-European Russian propaganda.

It’s definite that the President of Moldova went to Brussels with other expectations and with a tight agenda. His performance and arguments were yet insufficiently convincing for impressing the European institutions. President Dodon tried to sensitize the Europeans to the fact that the pro-EU feelings are on the wane among the Moldovans (Presedinte.md, February 2017). Nothing of this worked. But the Europeans understand very well what is going on in Chisinau – starting with the politicized institutions and phenomenon of captured state and ending with the deficiencies of the banking system. They consider that the positive changes in Moldova can take place by fully implementing the Agreement, not by annulling it. This aspect runs counter to Igor Dodon’s view that the Agreement offers nothing good to the country and that this should be terminated after the parliamentary elections of 2018.

Five paradoxes of Igor Dodon

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Energy governance in Moldova requires deep and completed reforms

Publicate Februarie 13, 2017 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: Energy governance / security

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Energy governance is essential for making the energy market more functional and predictable. Conditionality on external financial assistance to Moldova should be imposed concerning the progress in the sector.

About this and other aspects of reforms, representatives of the civil society and media from Moldova spoke during the hearings in the European Parliament, organized by MEP Monica Macovei and think tank Expert-Forum from Bucharest, in Brussels, on 8th February.

We propose you to read on shortcomings of the energy governance: Read the rest of this post »

Moldova Faces Growing Geopolitical Antagonism

Publicate Ianuarie 26, 2017 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: Igor Dodon, Rusia pretutindeni, UE şi RM

Moldova has entered an uncertain political period due to the election of Igor Dodon, a pro-Russian political leader and head of the Socialist Party, as president in November 2016. For the first time in the country’s history, the offices of the president and prime minister belong to politicians with conflicting geopolitical stances. While the pro-EU political forces, led by the Democratic Party, control parliament, the representative of the pro-Russian parliamentary opposition won the presidency.

According to the latest polls, public support for the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union has surpassed support for the EU – 58% versus 49%. Even if the EU is more familiar to the Moldovan public, they express more interest in the largely unknown Eurasian geopolitical project. Read the rest of this post »

Debutul lui Igor Dodon în demonizarea societății civile din Moldova și a SUA

Publicate Decembrie 18, 2016 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: moldova, Uncategorized

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Într-un interviu pentru principalul canal de propagandă rusească Russia Today, președintele pro-rus Igor Dodon cheamă Rusia să-și amplifice puterea moale („soft power”) în Moldova:

 – Prin oferirea de burse de studii pentru tinerii din Moldova, și

– Prin finanțarea sectorului non-guvernamental moldovenesc.

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Gânduri post-electorale pe scurt

Publicate Noiembrie 14, 2016 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: Alegeri prezidentiale, UE şi RM, Uncategorized

Alegerile s-au terminat, dar consecințele acestora ne vor urmări în viitorii ani. Principalele concluzii pe care aș vrea să le subliniez sunt:

  • Igor Dodon a câștigat alegerile, Maia Sandu a câștigat însă legitimitatea publică
  • Agenda patriarhală, bazată pe fobii și stereotipuri rămâne a fi o puternică pârghie în politica moldovenească.
  • Potențialul diasporei este în creștere și în anii care vin politicienii moldoveni, care reprezintă sistemul vechi, vor căuta modalități pentru a se imuniza de riscurile care vin din partea unei diaspore hiperactive.
  • Vectorul proeuropean a trecut și trece printr-un test de maturitate și sustenabilitate. Iar alegerile demonstrează că populația proeuropeană este încă vizibilă.
  • Vectorul euroasiatic este emergent și forțele pro-ruse intră într-o fază activă de acțiunea care va fi și mai vizibilă în perioada 2016-2017.

Moldovan presidential elections: Lessons to learn, tasks to do for the 2nd round

Publicate Octombrie 31, 2016 de dioniscenusa
Categorii: Alegeri prezidentiale, Amestec de geo/politică, Uncategorized

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Outcomes of the first round of the presidential elections surprised both local political experts and the external observers. But the second round, which was obvious because of many signals, brings even more uncertainties.

The elections proved few very interesting things:

  • Polls can be both suggestive (score for Igor Dodon) and wrong (score for Maia Sandu);
  • Voters are not easy going and the candidates should fight for each vote (about 50% participation in comparison with 57% at the parliamentarian elections of Nov. 2014 and 63% at those in Nov. 2010.
  • Mass-media can influence the results. The fact that Democrats’ candidate abandoned the competition in favor of Maia Sandu triggered the context for the second round. Or,  the media controlled by Democrats changed radically the rhetoric about Sandu, and some of their voters favored Maia Sandu, increasing her final scores (38%).
  • Diaspora can play a decisive role, but it remains weaker than its real human capacities. The majority of the Moldovans who are abroad voted for Maia Sandu and less for Igor Dodon (72% against 13%). However, the number of Moldovans who outside the country is very small – about 40.000 persons, when only in Italy there are around 150.000 Moldovans.
  • The central rayons of the country are more pro-Maia Sandu than the south and north, where Dodon gained a bigger share of voters (Look here the map).

 

Candidates, results and geopolitical orientation

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